class: center middle main-title section-title-3 # In-person<br>session 7 .class-info[ **October 3, 2022** .light[PMAP 8521: Program evaluation<br> Andrew Young School of Policy Studies ] ] --- name: outline class: title title-inv-8 # Plan for today -- .box-3.medium.sp-after-half[FAQs] -- .box-2.medium.sp-after-half[RCTs] -- .box-4.medium.sp-after-half[Matching and IPW] --- layout: false name: faqs class: center middle section-title section-title-3 animated fadeIn # FAQs --- layout: true class: middle --- .box-3.large[Randomness] .box-3.medium[How do we use random.org for things in R?] --- .box-3.medium[Do researchers actually check<br>all of the assumptions of OLS?<br>(or any statistical test?)] .box-inv-3.small[[Sometimes](https://stats.andrewheiss.com/donors-crackdowns-aid/03_h1-total-aid.html)] --- layout: false name: rcts class: center middle section-title section-title-2 animated fadeIn # RCTs --- layout: true class: middle --- .box-2.large[Do we really not control<br>for things in an RCT?] --- .box-2.large[Randomness and arrow deletion] ??? > Since every arrow should reflect a causal relationship, it’s not possible for there to be an arrow pointing from a covariate to the allocation, since it is done at random. With no arrow pointing to the exposure, there can be no unblocked backdoor path, and thus no confounding. Voilà. <https://statsepi.substack.com/p/out-of-balance> --- .center[ <figure> <img src="img/07-class/coins.jpg" alt="Stack of coins" title="Stack of coins" width="70%"> </figure> ] ??? [Coins](http://www.freestockphotos.biz/stockphoto/8215) --- .box-2.medium[Wordle!] .center[ <figure> <img src="img/07-class/blank-wordle.png" alt="Blank Wordle" title="Blank Wordle" width="40%"> </figure> ] ??? <https://twitter.com/dave_andersen/status/1495530221096873993> <https://twitter.com/johnlray/status/1495421626074214402?s=21> --- .center[ ```text Feb 10 2022 Day 236 PAUSE Feb 11 2022 Day 237 ULCER Feb 12 2022 Day 238 ULTRA Feb 13 2022 Day 239 ROBIN -----NYT TAKES OVER----- Feb 14 2022 Day 240 CYNIC Feb 15 2022 Day 241 AGORA Feb 16 2022 Day 242 AROMA Feb 17 2022 Day 243 CAULK Feb 18 2022 Day 244 SHAKE ``` ] ??? <https://medium.com/@owenyin/here-lies-wordle-2021-2027-full-answer-list-52017ee99e86> --- .box-2.large[Balance tests] ??? Stratified randomization is okay <https://twitter.com/ChelseaParlett/status/1370798053691514882> --- .center[ <figure> <img src="img/07-class/chelsea-first.png" alt="Balance tests and The Good Place" title="Balance tests and The Good Place" width="55%"> </figure> ] --- .center[ <figure> <img src="img/07-class/chelsea-second.png" alt="Balance tests and The Good Place" title="Balance tests and The Good Place" width="85%"> </figure> ] --- .box-2.large[Can you walk through an example of<br>RCTs in class?] --- layout: false name: matching-ipw class: center middle section-title section-title-4 animated fadeIn # Matching and IPW --- layout: true class: middle --- .box-4.large[Can you walk through an example of<br>IPW and matching in class?] --- .box-4.large[Why not just control for confounders<br>instead of doing the whole matching/IPW dance?] --- .box-4.large[Which should we use?<br>Matching or IPW?]